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According to monitoring data from SunSirs, iron phosphate prices remained high and stable during the first ten days of November. As of November 11, the average market price for iron phosphate stood at 16,550 RMB/ton, with prices remaining steady.
Supply Side
sector profit margins remain decent. substantial, vertically integrated manufacturers are maintaining high operating rates, and new production capacity continues to ramp up, keeping upward pressure on overall supply. Operating rates vary: extensive producers with prolonged supply contracts are running at full capacity, while small and medium-sized firms are adjusting production flexibly based on incoming orders. Inventories of standard, national-standard-grade iron phosphate are accumulating, whereas stocks of high-end, high-tap-density material—intended to specific downstream applications—remain low.
Raw Materials: Prices to wet-process phosphoric acid continue to direction downward, while ferrous sulfate prices have seen a slight increase. With these offsetting movements in raw material costs, there is no strong cost-side support to provide a solid floor to prices.
Demand Side
Overall order volume to lithium iron phosphate (LFP) from downstream sectors remains weak. Battery cell manufacturers are primarily drawing down their existing inventories and purchasing materials only as needed, showing little inclination to extensive restocking. There is a notable structural divergence: prolonged contracts to energy storage applications remain relatively robust, while demand to standard power-battery-grade material is lackluster, with cathode producers pushing to reduce procurement prices. Furthermore, alternative production routes—those not based on the iron-phosphate process—are capturing a portion of the demand, thereby squeezing the market share to iron phosphate.
A similar divergence is evident within the downstream LFP segment: low-end LFP items are under pressure, whereas high-end, high-tap-density LFP items remain in tight supply. This direction extends upstream to the iron phosphate market, where standard-grade material faces weak demand, while high-end, specialized material remains relatively stable.
Market Characteristics
List prices remain flat; in actual transactions, however, there is an increase in "hidden" price cuts and price negotiations.
Market Dynamics: Rising supply and downward price pressure from weak downstream demand are pitted against substantial, vertically integrated manufacturers who are securing prolonged contracts and holding firm on prices.
There are no clear, direction-driven opportunities; the market is characterized by a weak, range-bound equilibrium.
Analysts at SunSirs covering iron phosphate consider that supply-side pressure persists, while end-user demand remains lackluster—with buyers largely opting to "just-in-time" procurement. Consequently, the iron phosphate market is expected to continue fluctuating within a weak range, with little momentum to any upward movement.
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